Humza Yousaf set to resign as Scotland's first minister after coming to the conclusion 'there is no way for him to survive this week's vote of no confidence'

Humza Yousaf is set to resign as Scotland's first minister after coming to the conclusion 'there is no way for him to survive this week's vote of no confidence', according to a report.

Senior figures in the SNP have been told the nationalist leader decided over the weekend that there is no way for him to survive and he may stand down on Monday. 

It comes as he had been frantically trying to bolster his support after triggering a meltdown by summarily ditching his Green coalition partners.

They have now pledged to back a no confidence motion this week, leaving the parliamentary arithmetic looking bleak for his chances of survival. 

A close friend of the leader told The Times: 'Humza knows what's best for the country and the party. He is first party activist and a party man, and that's why he knows it's time for someone else.' 

The paper reports that former SNP leader and long-time Nicola Sturgeon ally John Swinney has been approached by senior party figures to become an interim first minister if Mr Yousaf is forced from office.

The SNP leader, who took over from Sturgeon in March 2023, is facing two votes of no confidence, one in him personally from the Tories and another in his government from Labour.

Excluding the presiding officer there are 128 MSPs in total, but the SNP only has 63 votes while the other opposition parties have 65.

Over the weekend Mr Yousaf has been exploring options to convince one of the opposition party MSPs to vote to save his government.   

If he managed to get to 64 votes and tie the vote, the presiding officer is meant to back the status quo, so he would be able to hold on.

The most likely candidate he faced the chance of converting was Ash Regan, the sole MSP in Alex Salmond's Alba Party.

Mr Yousaf previously described her departure from the SNP in October last year as 'no great loss'. 

Ms Regan, a former SNP leadership rival to Mr Yousaf, wrote to him with a list of priorities over the weekend, including 'defending the rights of women and children'. That is thought to mean accepting the results of the Cass review, which criticised gender therapies, in full.

The pair went head-to-head during the SNP leadership campaign, where she called for more extreme independence tactics and expressed her complete opposition to both transgender ideology and the Greens in government. 

Her stance on gender reforms also led her to quit the cabinet during the voting stage in one of the first displays of discontent within the SNP on the trans issue. 

JK Rowling even waded into the row, saying it is 'karma' that the First Minister is now reliant on Ms Regan, who defected to Alba in protest at the SNP's gender ID stance. 

Ms Regan was also pushing for a commitment to invest in the Grangemouth oil refinery, and unilateral moves towards an independence referendum.

Speaking on Sky News' Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips, her boss Mr Salmond effectively laid out his demands, saying a 'top line' of any discussion with Mr Yousaf would be the idea of reviving the Scotland United strategy – which would see a single pro-independence candidate stand in each Scottish constituency.

But those demands have widely been seen as too much of a cost of Mr Yousaf to bear.

A spokesman for Mr Yousaf dismissed the idea, saying: 'This is fantasy. There is no possibility of the First Minister agreeing any deal like this with Alex Salmond.' 

Meanwhile talks are understood to be taking place with individual Green MSPs to avoid a reliance on Mr Salmond's Alba party. 

If Yousaf was to resign immediately, then the Scottish Parliament would have 28 days to elect a first minister by a simple majority.

John Swinney, Sturgeon's former deputy first minister, is expected to be appointed to steady the ship while a leadership contest takes place in the SNP.

Other possible candidates include Kate Forbes who came second to Mr Yousaf in the last SNP leadership election with 48 per cent of the vote. 

But her socially conservative views on transgender ideology, gay marriage and abortion would also see her rejected by the Greens. 

Tensions had been rising between the SNP and Greens over trans and Net Zero policies, but Mr Yousaf's decision to scrap the so-called Bute House agreement was still a bombshell. 

The Bute House Agreement gave the SNP-led government a majority at Holyrood but it came under strain in recent days after the Greens said they would put the future of the deal to a vote by their members.

Some in the Greens were unhappy at the Scottish Government's recent dropping of 2030 climate targets and the decision to pause the prescription of new puberty blockers at Scotland's only gender clinic.

Mr Yousaf rubbed salt in the wound by making his newly-sacked ex-colleagues do a walk of shame in full view of cameras. 

In the lead-up to his decision to reportedly quit, Mr Yousaf had been desperately trying to secure his survival with an extra vote.

It is understood that letters were sent to Alba Party, Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labour and the Scottish Greens over the weekend. 

However opposition parties appeared to be unmoved by Mr Yousaf's impassioned plea for support, with the dumped Greens, the Tories, Labour and Lib Dems yet to confirm if they will meet with the SNP leader. 

On Saturday night, Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross, who has written back to Mr Yousaf but not said if he will accept his invitation to Bute House, said: 'This is a humiliating and embarrassing letter, in which Humza Yousaf is begging to be allowed to keep his job. 

'His belated abandonment of the Bute House Agreement with the toxic Greens... does nothing to undo the immense damage it has caused.

'Our NHS, schools, police and public services have all been profoundly hit by the spectacular mismanagement of the SNP-Green government under his leadership.

'Humza Yousaf now talks about delivering "substantial benefits for people, communities and ­businesses", and only wants to discuss "concerns and… priorities" now that his job is on the line.'