Election forecaster reveals who's on course to win in 2024... and the big issue facing one candidate

Paul Dans, head of Project 2025, has stepped down.

The project had put forward ideas for a possible second Trump administration and had been attacked by Democrats.

In a statement the Trump campaign said:

Nate Silver relaunched his forecast model of the presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

It shows the vice president in a better position than President Biden was in before exiting the race, but Harris is still a modest underdog in the Electoral College, according to the modeling.

Harris has just over a 38 percent chance of winning the Electoral College while Trump has a 61 percent chance.

However, it shows Harris' chances of winning the popular vote at over 53 percent, even if she does not win the election. Trump's chance at the popular vote according to the current forecast is at 46.5 percent.

President Joe Biden didn’t misspeak when he called Speaker Mike Johnson ‘dead on arrival,’ the White House said Tuesday.

White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre got asked about the comment during her briefing, where she insisted Biden ‘cleared what he meant’ in a tussle with Johnson over his plan to impose term limits on Supreme Court justices. Johnson called the plan ‘dead on arrival’ and Biden responded by saying, ‘He is. Dead on arrival.’

‘He actually addressed this last right, in his speech, in his remarks yesterday. He went right to it and talked about how his idea basically was dead on arrival. The speaker’s idea. He actually talked about it. He reiterated what the speaker said about the SCOTUS reforms announcement, and then he said that his idea was dead on arrival,’ said Jean-Pierre.

‘I don’t think he misspoke. He cleared what he meant specifically so people understood. I would not say he misspoke.’ Jean-Pierre repeated her comment that the White House was ‘recalibrating’ how things will work now that VP Kamala Harris is the presumed nominee. Biden ‘enjoys being out there and speaking directly to the American people,' she said, after Biden made off-the-cuff comments after 1 am. Biden himself cleaned up the earlier comment in his speech in Texas Monday, bringing up Johnson's opposition and saying, 'Well I think his thinking is dead on arrival.'

The Senate passed a bipartisan bill Tuesday to protect children who use social media apps.

The Kids Online Safety Act breezed through the chamber with a 91 - 3 vote.

'This legislation provides young people and parents with the tools, safeguards, and transparency they need to protect against online harms,' Tennessee Sen. Marsha Blackburn, the lead Republican on the bill, said in a statement after the measure's passage.

The bill will require social media platforms to provide more robust privacy settings by default, give adults new controls over their kids' accounts and require independent audits of social media providers.

It is one of the first and strongest bills yet passed to regulate social media.

Alleigh Marré, Executive Director of American Parents Coalition, told DailyMail.com that the passage is a 'victory for parents.'

Sen. J.D. Vance is heading to Arizona's southern border to highlight Vice President Kamala Harris' failures as 'border czar.'

Since Harris took over as the de facto Democratic nominee last week, a main attack line has been for Donald Trump and Vance to go after her role in Biden's administration whre she was meant to mitigate the southern border crisis.

Vance will appear in Conchise County, Arizona – a southern border town – for remarks Thursday morning. It follows the vice presidential candidate's remarks Wednesday evening in Glendale, Arizona.

A statement announcing the stop notes:

Vice President Kamala Harris will tour battleground states next week with her vice presidential candidate, sources told Reuters.

The plan indicates that Harris is close to naming her running mate for the Democratic presidential ticket.

The short list of candidates under consideration include Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg.

Several of the contenders were out campaigning for her this weekend in battleground states in what many saw as tryouts for the vice presidential slot.

Donald Trump would 'absolutely' change Air Force One's colors to his preferred dark blue and red scheme, according to a new report on Tuesday, even if it would have a dangerous side effect on the presidential plane.

A former White House official told Politico that 'absolutely; 100 percent' that Trump would change the plane's light blue and white color design to the one that mimics his private plane Trump Force One.

Trump made much fanfare of his plan to change the colors of the iconic presidential plane to ones that he preferred.

The government, during his administration, contracted with Boeing for two new 747-8s to replace the existing presidential aircraft. Then-President Trump bragged about his negotiating skills with company, saying that he said saved taxpayers money.

And he was so proud of his plan he kept a model of the new Air Force One - painted dark blue, deep red, and pure white - on the coffee table in the Oval Office where it popped up in numerous photographs during his administration.

FBI Deputy Director Paul Abbate told the Senate on Tuesday agents have found a social media account they believe belonged to Donald Trump's would-be assassin Thomas Crooks.

Abbate said there were over 700 comments posted from this account, including some that included 'anti-Semitic and anti-immigration themes' that 'espoused political violence'.

The FBI is still working to verify the account.

Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg said he found out about President Joe Biden ending his reelection campaign through his post to social media last weekend.

Buttigieg said in a Monday night interview when asked about enthusiasm over Vice President Kamala Harris' candidacy:

The Daily Show host Jon Steward asked if the excitement has 'hurt Biden's feelings,' acknowledging it was a 'strange question.'

Buttigieg replied:

Sen. Rand Paul revealed in a joint hearing on the Trump assassination attempt that local law enforcement had told his office they'd warned the Secret Service about the vulnerabilities of the rooftop where Thomas Matthew Crooks fired shots at the president.

'Local law enforcement told my staff that they specifically flagged the vulnerability of the building to the Secret Service, and were told that it would be taken care of. Clearly, these vulnerabilities were not addressed.'

Republicans are furious at the Olympics's 'anti-Christian bigotry' displayed in the Paris competition's opening ceremony, saying it was a 'vulgar mockery' of Jesus and his billions of followers.

The 2024 Paris Olympics opening ceremony sparked outrage by Christians after Leonardo Da Vinci's world-renowned religious The Last Supper painting was warped into a drag queen display.

The famous biblical scene of Jesus Christ and his twelve apostles sharing a final meal before the crucifixion were replaced by transgender figures creating a 'woke' parody of the sacred scene.

Now, over two dozen Republicans are demanding the Olympic's charter be rewritten to 'ensure that no faiths are the subject of mockery' after the dreadful diversity display, according to a letter exclusively obtained by Daily Mail.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

President Joe Biden told reporters on Monday night he’s already campaigning for Kamala Harris.

‘I did today,’ he told journalists on the South Lawn after he returned from a trip to Texas.

Biden was in Austin to talk about his plan to reform the Supreme Court, a plan Harris has endorsed.

The president was more cryptic when it came to a running mate for Harris. She is still considering who to have with her on the Democratic ticket.

When asked who Harris should pick as her vice president, Biden simply replied: ‘We'll talk.’

Donald Trump is jumping to running mate J.D. Vance's defense amid criticsm over reemerged 'childless cat lady' comments.

He told Fox News host Laura Ingraham in a Monday evening interview:

Vance, the vice presidential nominee, said in a 2021 interview with then-Fox host Tucker Carlson that the U.S. is being run by Democratic 'childless cat ladies who are miserable at their own lives and the choices that they've made and so they want to make the rest of the country miserable too.'

Vice President Kamala Harris released her first TV ad titled 'Fearless' on Tuesday as part of a $50 million paid ad campaign leading up to the Democratic National Convention.

The ad features images of Harris over the years and introduces her to the American people as a prosecutor before becoming vice president.

'As a prosecutor, she put murderers and abusers behind bars. As California’s Attorney General, she went after the big banks and won $20 billion for homeowners, and as Vice President, she took on the big drug companies to cap the cost of insulin for seniors,' the narrator says. 'Because Kamala Harris has always known who she represents.'

The minute-long ad ends with her slamming Donald Trump by name and stating 'we're not going back.'

It's the first ad in the blitz that will play across battleground states.

It comes as the Trump campaign dropped its first anti-Harris ad.

'This is America's border czar, and she's failed us. Under Harris, over 10 million illegal a year,' the narrator says as video of Harris dancing at an event plays. 'A quarter of a million Americans dead from fentanyl.'

The Trump campaign reserved $12 million across six battleground states.

Kamala Harris will tap Stacey Abrams to help her win the state of Georgia, having the failed gubernatorial candidate join her at a rally in Atlanta on Tuesday.

Abrams, who is a fervent defender of the vice president, will be at Harris' side alongside the state's Democratic Senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock.

Singer Megan Thee Stallion will also join Harris at her rally, the campaign announced.

'ATL HOTTIES SEE YOU TOMORROW,' the singer wrote on her instagram.

Tuesday marks Harris' first appearance in the battleground state since she announced her presidential campaign and her 15th visit since becoming vice president.

Georgia is seen as a critical win for Harris in the 2024 race, part of a group of sunbelt states Democrats believe she can carry in addition to the Midwest states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan that make up the so-called 'blue wall.'

'We have multiple pathways to 270 electoral votes. The Vice President is strong in both the blue wall and in the Sun Belt and we are running hard in both,' Harris' battleground states director Dan Kanninen said on a call with reporters on Monday.

Donald Trump described how Melania Trump heartbreakingly watched the attempt on his life on live television in a new interview.

Trump miraculously survived the assassination attempt by 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks on July 13.

He was asked by Laura Ingraham how his wife Melania experienced the traumatic day from home.

'She was watching,' he said. 'She was watching live. It was all over the place. It was on television.'

Trump added that his wife is unable to even speak to him about that horrible day, though he's able to see it as a sign she truly cares for him.

A forecaster known as the 'Nostradamus' of presidential elections has revealed who is currently best placed to win the White House in November.

Professor Allan Lichtman of American University has accurately called the winner of nearly every presidential election since President Reagan's reelection in 1984.

Lichtman updated his complicated prediction model to reflect President Joe Biden dropping out of the race and Vice President Kamala Harris become the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Based on his model which includes thirteen factors, or 'keys' as he calls them, Harris is currently on course for victory with less than 100 days to go before Election Day.

Cooper confirmed in a statement Monday night that he would not be a candidate to be Harris' vice president, saying he was 'honored' to be considered but 'this just wasn't the right time for North Carolina and for me to potentially be on a national ticket.'

The governor, 67, withdrew from contention well before Harris' vetting process began and never submitted the requisite material, according to two of the people.

Harris remains focused on mostly men with executive experience from swing states like Cooper to round out the ticket.

A Bloomberg report Monday revealed that Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro as well as Arizona Gov. Mark Kelly and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz are the top three contenders Harris is considering adding to her ticket.

Actor Jeff Bridges addressed a 'White Dudes for Harris' fundraising event geared toward white men supporting the vice president,

He sang her praises on Monday night, before channeling his iconic role as 'The Dude' in 1998's 'The Big Lebowski,' declaring, 'As the Dude might say, `That's just my opinion, man.'" (The original line was "That´s just, like, your opinion, man.")

The call lasted more than three hours and organizers said it attracted 180,000-plus people who donated more than $4million.

It was the latest in a series of Zoom gatherings to raise money and rally support among tens of thousands of supporters for Harris, after President Joe Biden announced he was leaving the presidential race and endorsing her.

The 'white dudes' Zoom event also featured appearances from actors Mark Ruffalo, Mark Hamill and Bradley Whitford, who deadpanned about so many white male speakers being 'a rainbow of beige.'

Joseph Gordon-Levitt was also on the giant call that was briefly shut down by X, sparking accusations of election interference.