Rishi Sunak was given a glimmer of hope amid dire elections today as Labour suggested they have lost the Tees Valley mayoral battle.
As the declaration looms in the contest, senior sources acknowledged that they were set to 'fall short' of ousting Tory incumbent Ben Houchen despite a 'significant swing'. Lord Houchen secured a huge victory with 72 per cent of the vote three years ago.
The formal result, due at 12.30pm, and signs that Andy Street is performing strongly in West Mids could give the PM some much-needed relief after disaster in the Blackpool South by-election and a mounting bloodbath on councils.
Labour's Chris Webb secured a massive 26 per cent swing in Blackpool South to become the newest MP in the Commons - and in a particularly alarming sign the Tory candidate barely managed to push Reform into third place, by just 117 votes. Visiting the constituency this morning flanked by Angela Rayner, Keir Starmer said voters wanted to 'turn the page' on the government.
It was the seventh parliamentary seat the Tories have lost in a by-election since Mr Sunak became PM in October 2022 - underlining that Sir Keir looks to be on track for Downing Street.
As English councils started to declare, Labour also claimed a 'truly historic result' to take Rushmoor - the home of the British Army - from the Tories and end nearly a quarter-of-a century of Conservative control.
Sir Keir also saw wins in Hartlepool and made other gains in key general election battlegrounds Thurrock and Redditch as they enjoyed early success.
The Tories lost control of North East Lincolnshire as Mr Sunak witnessed a dire set of results begin to unfold.
In a bright spot, the party has managed to hold on to control of Harlow - which local MP Robert Halfon described as 'the biggest comeback since Lazarus'.
Labour also suffered woes of their own in Oldham, where the party lost overall control after independents picked up seats in an apparent backlash over the Gaza war.
However, polling guru Professor John Curtice said the Tories could be on track to lose 500 councillors and critics are already stepping up calls for Mr Sunak to go.
Despite pleas from ministers to wait for the full picture to emerge, MPs warned that the PM cannot have a 'bunker mentality' and 'there's no such thing really as a safe Tory seat anymore'.
Senior sources acknowledged that they were set to 'fall short' of ousting Tory incumbent Ben Houchen (pictured) despite a 'significant swing'
Visiting the Blackpool South constituency this morning flanked by Angela Rayner, Keir Starmer said voters wanted to 'turn the page' on the government
Rishi Sunak (pictured canvassing in Chelsea with wife Akshata Murty yesterday) is bracing for a dire set of results from the local elections
New Labour MP for Blackpool South Chris Webb, pictured with his son Cillian and wife Portia, called on Rishi Sunak to 'do the decent thing, admit you've failed and call a general election'
Tory candidate David Jones (right) won 3,218 votes, which was only 117 votes ahead of third-placed Reform UK
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Labour tried to play down falling short in Tees Valley, saying Lord Houchen - a close ally of Boris Johnson - ran as a 'pseudo-independent'.
Sources argued that an estimated 12.5 per cent swing would be enough to sweep most Westminster constituencies in the area.
In a bruising tour of broadcast studios, Tory chair Richard Holden was asked whether he was confident MPs will not try to remove Mr Sunak as leader.
'Parliamentary colleagues need to look at this and see… and wait through the weekend as well,' he told Sky News.
The losses have triggered speculation that mounting Tory unrest could lead MPs to seek to remove the Prime Minister.
But Mr Holden sought to highlight local issues at play, insisting the Blackpool South by-election took place in 'particularly difficult' circumstances following the resignation of former Tory MP Scott Benton after a lobbying scandal.
He admitted it had been a 'tough night' but told LBC the party was coming off a 'very high watermark in 2021'.
Blackpool South by-election result in full
Chris Webb (Lab) 10,825 (58.91%, +20.57%)
David Jones (Tory) 3,218 (17.51%, -32.09%)
Mark Butcher (Reform) 3,101 (16.88%)
Andrew Cregan (Lib Dem) 387 (2.11%, -0.97%)
Ben Thomas (Green) 368 (2.00%, +0.28%)
Stephen Black (Ind) 163 (0.89%, -0.24%)
Kim Knight (ADF) 147 (0.80%)
Howling Laud Hope (Loony) 121 (0.66%)
Damon Sharp (NonPol) 45 (0.24%)
Lab majority: 7,607 votes
However, Tory MPs were scathing in their assessment.
Paul Scully said he did not believe the leader should change, but warned of a 'bunker mentality' in No10.
'Crisis management is almost a day to day job of the government,' he told LBC. 'We are not speaking to people. We need to reach out.'
Former chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng told LBC: 'All of our seats are under threat. There's no such thing really as a safe Tory seat anymore.'
Veteran Tory aide Tim Montgomerie, who has been highly critical of Mr Sunak, told the BBC: 'Personally I think the results are so bad... I just don't think he is connected with the voters.
'I think he should go.'
Following the declaration of the Blackpool South result just before 5am, Sir Keir reiterated his demand for Mr Sunak to call a general election.
Standing alongside his new MP in the constituency, the Labour leader said: 'It's a fantastic result, a really first-class result and here in Blackpool a message has been sent directly to the Prime Minister, directly to the Prime Minister, because this was a parliamentary vote.
'This was directly to Rishi Sunak to say we are fed up with your decline, your chaos and your division and we want change. We want to go forward with Labour.'
He added: 'That wasn't just a little message, that wasn't just a murmur, that was a shout from Blackpool.
'We want change, and Blackpool speaks for the whole country. It says we have had enough now after 14 years of failure, 14 years of decline. We need to turn the page and start afresh with Labour, which has a positive plan for the country.'
Mr Webb scooped 10,825 votes to secure a 7,607-vote majority. The Tories won 3,218 votes, just 117 votes ahead of third-placed Reform UK.
The 26.33 per cent swing was the third biggest from the Conservatives to Labour at a by-election since the Second World War.
The Tories said the Blackpool South by-election was 'always going to be difficult' given the 'specific circumstances' surrounding former MP Scott Benton.
A party spokesman said: 'This was a tough fight and David Jones was an excellent candidate who campaigned hard for every single vote.
'This was always going to be difficult election given the specific circumstances related to the previous incumbent.
'What has been clear is that a vote for Reform is a vote for Sir Keir Starmer – taking us right back to square one.'
The Blackpool South outcome added to a night of turmoil for the Conservatives, as they also suffered dismal results in local elections across the country.
Labour are boasting of being 'on track' for power at Westminster after making gains in key council contests.
In his victory speech, Mr Webb said: 'People no longer trust the Conservatives. Prime Minister: do the decent thing, admit you've failed and call a general election.'
The Blackpool South contest was prompted by the resignation of former Tory MP Scott Benton from the House of Commons after he was caught up in a lobbying sting.
The Conservatives won the seat at the 2019 general election, with Mr Benton as the party's candidate, with a more than 3,500-vote majority.
Tory deputy chair Angela Richardson told the BBC: 'The result was not unexpected. I think, given the circumstances that caused the by-election in the first place, it was always going to be difficult for the Conservatives.'
Polling guru Professor Sir John Curtice said the Tories could be on course to lose 500 councillors in 'one of the worst, if not the worst' performances by the party in 40 years.
'So far they are basically losing a half of the seats they are trying to defend. If that continues they may end up losing 500 or so seats, which is the thing they were meant to avoid,' he told BBC Radio 4's Today.
'Early days yet, but where we have got the detailed voting numbers, it looks as though the Conservative vote is a wee bit down on where it was last year.
'We are probably looking at certainly one of the worst, if not the worst, Conservative performances in local government elections for the last 40 years.'
Elections expert Michael Thrasher told Sky News that the swing to Labour in Blackpool was 'more or less off the scale'.
As well as the Tory-Labour fight, the performance of insurgent outfit Reform was also being keenly scrutinised throughout the night of election results.
Reform beat the Tories in 16 out of the 25 seats being contests on Sunderland council, with leader Richard Tice crowing they were 'becoming the real opposition to Labour in Red Wall areas'.
The results from the 107 local authorities in England who held elections on Thursday could yet decide Mr Sunak's 's political fate.
Labour has gained police and crime commissioners from the Conservatives in Cumbria and Avon and Somerset.
The PM is also braced for further dire results from mayoral contests, which will start to be declared in the coming hours.
Reform UK leader Richard Tice was bullish about the result in Blackpool, where the party came within a whisker of second place
Labour supporters were celebrating in Peterborough this morning as they became the largest party on the council
Party activists punched the air in delight in Sunderland as Labour retained control of the council
LOCAL ELECTIONS: KEY RESULTS SO FAR
- Hartlepool
Three years ago Labour lost the Hartlepool parliamentary by-election to the Conservatives - an event that reportedly led Sir Keir Starmer to consider resigning as party leader.
This year Hartlepool gave Labour cause for celebration, with the party winning control of the council for the first time since 2019 thanks to a net gain of seven seats, while the Tories lost six.
- South Tyneside
It was a less cheery picture for Labour in South Tyneside, where the party suffered a net loss of 10 seats.
Independent candidates gained nine seats and the Greens gained two, while the Tories lost their only councillor.
Labour still has a majority here, but only just: the new council will have 28 Labour councillors, 15 Independents and 11 Greens.
- Sunderland
The Reform Party had a full or near-full slate of candidates in only a handful of councils holding elections this year and Sunderland was one of a few places where it fought every seat.
While the party did not win any of them, it did beat the Conservatives into third place in 16 of the 25 seats up for grabs while Labour made a net gain of six to increase its comfortable majority.
- Thurrock
This Essex council was one of Labour's top targets and is in an area of the country that will be a key Conservative-Labour battleground at the next general election.
The party needed to gain six seats to take control of Thurrock, which has been run by the Tories for the past few years during a period of turbulence that saw the council declared effectively bankrupt in December 2022.
Labour ended up making a net gain of eight seats, enough for a clear majority, with Independents picking up two and the Tories suffering a net loss of 10.
- Harlow
Keir Starmer and his deputy Angela Rayner toured the Essex town of Harlow 24 hours before the polls opened, in a symbolic visit to a part of the country that will be a key battleground at the general election.
But while Labour did make progress in Harlow in Thursday's council elections, it fell short of an overall majority by the narrowest of margins, ending up with 16 seats, just one behind the Tories on 17.
Labour's most impressive victory of the night so far came in Rushmoor.
Sir Keir's party boasted of now being in charge of the 'home of the British Army' in a nod to the Hampshire authority's links to the military.
They taunted Mr Sunak that it was 'time for a general election' in the wake of the result.
Labour won nine out of 13 seats up for grabs on Rushmoor Borough Council, with the Tories winning three and the Liberal Democrats one.
It gave Sir Keir's party a majority on the council as the Tories ceded control after 24 years in charge.
The council includes Aldershot, known as the home of the British Army, and Labour was keen to highlight that link as proof that the party had changed since Jeremy Corbyn's time as leader.
A party spokeswoman said: 'This is a truly historic result.
'Rushmoor - the home of the British Army - has never had a majority Labour council before, and has been run by the Tories for the last 24 years.
'This result demonstrates just how much the Labour Party has changed and people in Rushmoor know that only Labour can deliver the change they want to see.
'A Labour gain for Rushmoor is a result Rishi Sunak cannot ignore. It's time for a general election.'
In another eye-catching victory for Labour, the party won control of Thurrock after starting the night as the second biggest party behind the Tories.
The Essex council, which had recently moved to no overall control because of defections, is in a strong Brexit-supporting part of the country.
It has also been among those local authorities in dire financial straits, with council tax having been hiked by an eye-watering 8 per cent last month.
Thurrock was effectively declared bankrupt in 2022 following a failed investment spree.
Labour hailed their victory in a key parliamentary battleground, with a party spokesperson saying: 'This is exactly the kind of place we need to be winning to gain a majority in a general election.
'The people of Thurrock have sent the Conservatives a message that they want change.'
Labour won nine of the 12 seats up for grabs in Hartlepool to gain control of the council, with independents winning two and the Conservatives one.
Hartlepool has a symbolic importance for Sir Keir after Labour lost the parliamentary by-election there in 2021.
A party spokesperson said: 'Winning back Hartlepool council is a groundbreaking moment after the disappointing results we saw here in 2021.
'Keir Starmer pledged to change the Labour Party after that result and today's win shows that this changed Labour Party is ready to deliver the change that communities like Hartlepool are crying out for.'Making gains here shows that the party is on track to win a general election and is firmly back in the service of working people.'
Along with the direct challenge from Labour and apparent squeeze on Tory votes in 'Red Wall' areas from Reform, the Liberal Democrats claimed they were gaining ground in traditional Conservative heartlands in southern England.
A party source said they were expecting positive results in Oxfordshire, Hampshire and Hertfordshire.
As well as the council elections, voting also took place on Thursday in 11 mayoral contests and 37 police and crime commissioner elections.
Conservative rebels are poised to pounce on a dismal night for Mr Sunak by mounting a fresh effort to oust the PM from No10 in the coming days.
Tories fear they could lose up to half of the council seats they are defending.
The final result in Sunderland was Labour 18, Liberal Democrats four and Conservatives three, as Sir Keir's party retained control.
Although Reform did not win one of the 25 seats being contested, Mr Tice hailed his party's performance.
He said Reform were 'rapidly becoming the real opposition to Labour, whether it's in the North, the Midlands, we know it's the case in Wales'.
Mr Tice added: 'We are very excited. This is a very good day for Reform UK. It's also a good day for democracy, actually, because the Great British people have got a serious alternative to consider when they want to go and vote.'
Cabinet minister Chris Heaton-Harris said the results in Sunderland showed 'if you vote Reform, you get Labour'.
The Northern Ireland Secretary told the BBC: 'It's a very straightforward equation for people at the next general election.
'If they want to vote Reform, they'll end up with Labour MPs, and they'll end up with a Labour government, and then they'll end up, probably, with everything they didn't want to vote for based on the profile of Reform voters.'
Peterborough remained under no overall control, but Labour became the biggest party after gaining five seats while the Conservatives lost 11.
Monster Raving Loony Party leader and candidate Howling Laud Hope arrives for the count in the Blackpool South by-election
Sir Keir Starmer and his wife Victoria arrived at a polling station in London on Thursday to cast their votes
Rishi Sunak's string of by-election losses as PM
- July 2023 - Selby and Ainsty (Labour gain)
- July 2023 - Somerton and Frome (Liberal Democrat gain)
- October 2023 - Mid Bedfordshire (Labour gain)
- October 2023 - Tamworth (Labour gain)
- February 2024 - Wellingborough (Labour gain)
- February 2024 - Kingswood (Labour gain)
- May 2024 - Blackpool South (Labour gain)
Labour retained control of South Tyneside, but lost at least seven seats to independents.
Sir Keir's party were fearing a local elections backlash over the Gaza conflict in some parts of the country.
In London, Labour mayor Sadiq Khan is expected to win an historic third term in City Hall despite a challenge by Tory rival Susan Hall over ULEZ and crime rates.
As polls closed last night, Labour MP Pat McFadden MP, the party's national campaign coordinator, said: 'The most important election of the night is the historic by-election in Blackpool, caused by yet more Tory chaos and scandal.
'It's the only election today where voters have had the opportunity to directly reject Rishi Sunak's party in Westminster.
'It's going to be a long night and the full picture of results from local elections may not be clear until over the weekend, but we expect to see Labour gains that show we're making progress in the places we need to win the next general election.'
Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey also sought to pile the pressure on Mr Sunak, saying: 'Up and down the country, so many lifelong Conservative voters backed the Liberal Democrats today'.
Every voter in England and Wales was able to cast a ballot in at least one type of election before 10pm on Thursday.
There were 2,600 council seats in England up for grabs across 107 authorities.
Many of the seats were last fought in 2021 - a year in which the Conservatives did particularly well in local elections at a high point in Boris Johnson's premiership.
The Tory slump since then was demonstrated by the latest YouGov poll, published on Thursday, showing the party on 18 per cent with Labour on 44 per cent.
This was the lowest Conservative vote share of this Parliament, lower than under Liz Truss, when it sank to 19 per cent.
The survey of 2,010 British voters, conducted between April 30 and May 1, also showed the Tories only three percentage points ahead of Reform on 15 per cent.
Local election estimated declaration times: counting will go on until Sunday
FRIDAY
Councils:
12.30am Broxbourne
1.30am Hartlepool, Rochford, Sunderland
2am Bolton, Gosport, Ipswich, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, North East Lincolnshire, South Tyneside, Wigan
2.30am Chorley, Eastleigh, Fareham, Hart, Oldham, Portsmouth, Rushmoor, Southend-on-Sea
2.45am Exeter
3am Harlow, Kingston-upon-Hull, Lincoln, Sefton, Tameside, Thurrock
3.15am Reading
3.30am Colchester, Gateshead, Redditch, Stockport
4am Peterborough, Plymouth
4.30am Southampton
5.30am Winchester
11am Norwich
12pm Blackburn with Darwen, Walsall
12.30pm Castle Point, Havant
1pm Cannock Chase, Manchester, Watford, Welwyn Hatfield
1.30pm Burnley, Preston, Sheffield, West Oxfordshire
2pm Basildon, Brentwood, Hyndburn, Knowsley, Nuneaton & Bedworth, Rossendale
2.30pm Crawley, Rochdale, Solihull
3pm Barnsley, Hastings, Kirklees, Maidstone, Rotherham, Three Rivers
3.30pm Halton, Milton Keynes, Sandwell, Trafford
4pm Adur, Bury, Calderdale, Cheltenham, Epping Forest, Pendle, St Albans, Swindon, Tunbridge Wells, Woking, Wokingham
4.30pm Dudley, Leeds, Wakefield
5pm Basingstoke & Deane, Bradford, Cambridge, Coventry, Oxford, Runnymede, Tandridge, Worthing
5.30pm Rugby, Wolverhampton, Worcester
5.45pm Cherwell
6pm Mole Valley, North Hertfordshire, Reigate & Banstead, Stevenage, Tamworth
6.30pm Bristol, Elmbridge
7pm Dorset
8pm West Lancashire
10pm Gloucester
Mayors:
12pm North East
12.30pm Tees Valley
2.30pm East Midlands
3pm York & North Yorkshire
Police & crime commissioners:
1.30am Cumbria
2.30am Avon & Somerset
3am Lincolnshire
1pm Gwent, North Wales
1.30pm Humberside
2pm Cambridgeshire & Peterborough, Hampshire, Suffolk
3pm Bedfordshire, Devon & Cornwall, DyfedPowys, Norfolk, Surrey
3.30pm Leicestershire
4pm Essex, Lancashire, Northamptonshire, South Wales, Staffordshire
4.30pm Northumbria
5pm Cleveland, Durham, Gloucestershire, Nottinghamshire
6pm Derbyshire, West Mercia
SATURDAY
Councils:
4pm North Tyneside, Stroud, Warrington
Mayors:
12pm Liverpool City Region
1.30pm London*
2pm South Yorkshire
3pm West Midlands
3.15pm West Yorkshire
4pm Greater Manchester
5pm Salford
Police & crime commissioners:
12pm Hertfordshire
2pm Thames Valley
2.30pm Warwickshire, West Midlands
3pm Cheshire, Dorset
3.30pm Merseyside
4pm Wiltshire
SUNDAY
Councils:
3pm Salford
Police & crime commissioners:
3.30pm Sussex
4pm Kent