Graphic shows the key seats Tories could win in wake of Reform support dropping in two polls - following Nigel Farage's comments on Russian invasion

Support for Reform UK fell in two polls yesterday as the Tories enjoyed a bounce in the wake of the row over Nigel Farage's comments about Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Mr Farage's party dropped three percentage points in one survey by JL Partners while a second by Savanta had its vote share down by two.

The shift came as analysis showed that a small swing back to the Tories in a string of key seats could prevent Labour winning a supermajority next week.

Reform has been surging in the polls since Mr Farage's return to frontline politics to lead the party three weeks ago, eating into the Right-leaning vote and making a Labour supermajority more likely.

But the party leader sparked outrage after saying in a BBC interview last week that the West had 'provoked' Russia into invading Ukraine. Rather than apologise, he has doubled down on the comments at several rallies and interviews in recent days.

However, in Reform's first wobble of the campaign, the JL Partners poll had it down three to 15 per cent, with the Tories rising by two to 25 per cent.

It had Labour on 41 per cent, up one, and the Liberal Democrats up two to 11 per cent. The survey also found Mr Farage's net popularity had taken a nine-point hit among voters who backed the Tories in 2019.

It polled 2,000 adults between Friday, when Mr Farage made the comments, and Monday.

Meanwhile, the Savanta poll for The Daily Telegraph had Reform down by two to 14 points, with the Tories up two to 21. Labour stayed even on 42 points while the Liberal Democrats were up one to 10 per cent. More than 2,300 adults were surveyed over the same dates.

Analysis of data from a separate 'mega poll' suggests the Conservatives are neck and neck with Labour in dozens of seats across the country.

For the third consecutive day, the Daily Mail today publishes details of a string of seats where Sir Keir Starmer's march towards a supermajority could be held back if centre-Right voters come together.

In Central Devon, Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride is only a handful of points ahead of Labour, while Deputy Foreign Secretary Andrew Mitchell is a handful behind in Sutton Coldfield.

In Ely and East Cambridgeshire, Culture Secretary Lucy Frazer is only narrowly ahead of the Lib Dems, while in North Devon, Tory Selaine Saxby will need support from other centre-Right voters to hold off Sir Ed Davey's party in a seat where Reform are polling almost 10 per cent.