Poll: Macron’s list hits all-time low ahead of EU elections

The list backed by French President Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance (Renew) gets 15.5% of the vote – its lowest level since the start of the European election campaign – and now ranks behind the socialist party, according to the latest Elabe poll published on Saturday.

Renaissance (Renew) has never been so low in the polls, losing 2.5 points since mid-January in the latest Elabe poll of 1,503 people, representative of mainland French residents aged 18 and over.

It is now behind the Parti Socialiste-Place Publique (S&D) list, led by French MEP Raphaël Glucksmann, with 13%, up 3.5 points since mid-January.

Also read: European elections: Raphaël Glucksmann, the man of Ukraine

The same goes for the far-right Rassemblement National (RN) list, led by French MEP Jordan Bardella, which has stabilised at 32% since the beginning of May.

Moreover, only 54% of Emmanuel Macron’s voters in the 2022 presidential elections would vote for Renaissance. Yet, the number of voters certain to vote for the presidential list has risen sharply by 8 points in two weeks (77%). This figure increases to 90% among RN voters, 76% among LFI voters and 65% among PS voters.

The ecologist lists (Greens/EFA), La France insoumise (The Left), Les républicains (EPP) are all on 7.5%, ahead of Reconquête! (ECR) and the French Communist Party (The Left) with 5.5% and 1.5%, respectively.

Macron’s popularity rating is on the rise

Paradoxically, Emmanuel Macron’s popularity has risen again, reaching 32%—a level not seen since February 2023—in the latest Ipsos poll on Saturday. The poll was conducted among 1,000 people, a nationally representative sample of the French population aged 18 and over.

On the other hand, the 34-year-old prime minister is surpassed by Edouard Philippe, Macron’s former prime minister, Bardella and Le Pen in terms of satisfaction with their chances of becoming president of the republic in 2027.

(Paul Messad| Euractiv.fr)

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