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The 'LTN effect'? How homes inside Sadiq Khan's controversial LTNs cost up to 108 per cent more than homes outside low-traffic neighbourhoods

6 months ago 45

Properties inside London's controversial low traffic neighbours (LTNs) are worth up to 108 per cent more than the borough average, a study revealed today.

The average house price within 20 LTNs analysed by estate agent Benham and Reeves is £529,391, which is 5 per cent above the typical London value of £502,690

But while the research suggests LTNs are boosting house prices for homeowners who already live within them, experts warned the additional strain the areas place on surrounding roads from increased congestion is a deterrent to many buyers.

LTNs have been championed by Mayor Sadiq Khan as being positive for pedestrians and cyclists, and they have popped up across the capital since the pandemic began.

But the schemes have also led to a backlash from drivers and bus passengers due to an increase in delays on roads around the areas and the impact on the disabled.

LTNs in the North and West of London have the biggest average price premium at 14 per cent for both, while it is 7 per cent in the South and 1 per cent in the East.

The LTN in South Chiswick has the biggest difference, with the typical price within its boundary 108 per cent higher than the wider borough average of Hounslow.

A cyclist passes planters blocking cars from a road in an LTN in Dulwich, South London 

A woman warns motorists of potential fines due to an LTN in Chiswick, West London, in 2020

The next biggest difference is the Fox Lane LTN compared to the Enfield average at 42 per cent higher; then the Arsenal and Highbury Fields LTN compared to the Haringey and Islington average at 26 per cent higher.

The Wanstead Park LTN compared to the Newham average and the Colliers Wood LTN compared to the Merton average are both 18 per cent higher.

LTNs are areas where vehicle numbers are reduced, and work by preventing vehicles from using certain streets as through roads into other destinations, quite often through using temporary or permanent barriers which stop traffic from being able to drive along a certain route.

But a raft of concerns have been raised about LTNs, from increasing congestion on surrounding roads to potential risk to life from emergency services delays, the impact on disabled residents and high numbers of Penalty Charge Notices coming out of the schemes.

Marc von Grundherr, director of Benham and Reeves, said the research confirmed that living within an LTN clearly has a positive impact on property prices.

AVERAGE HOUSE PRICE IN LTN AREA VERSUS WIDER BOROUGH AVERAGE London region LTN area Average LTN price  Borough Average borough price Difference £ - LTN vs borough Difference % - LTN vs borough
North Fox Lane £607,227 Enfield £427,468 £179,759 42%
North Arsenal and Highbury Fields £759,826 Haringey/Islington £600,852 £158,974 26%
North South of Alexandra Palace £639,753 Haringey £556,570 £83,183 15%
North London Fields £610,381 Hackney £589,517 £20,864 4%
North Kentish Town £667,528 Camden £714,736 -£47,208 -7%
North London LTN Average £654,681 North London Borough Average £570,120 £84,560 15%
East Wanstead Park £469,290 Newham £396,662 £72,628 18%
East Lee Green £470,453 Lewisham £418,927 £51,526 12%
East Upney £345,805 Barking and Dagenham £328,226 £17,579 5%
East Poplar £474,767 Tower Hamlets £453,598 £21,169 5%
East Thamesmead West £323,265 Greenwich £458,920 -£135,655 -30%
East London LTN Average £410,928 East London Borough Average £408,346 £2,582 1%
South Colliers Wood £636,972 Merton £538,411 £98,561 18%
South Ferndale £553,272 Lambeth £501,094 £52,178 10%
South River Wandle £441,599 Sutton £424,968 £16,631 4%
South Walworth West £494,315 Southwark £495,431 -£1,116 0%
South South Norwood £381,128 Croydon £394,025 -£12,897 -3%
South London LTN Average £493,665 South London Borough Average £467,713 £25,952 6%
West South Chiswick £924,930 Hounslow £445,246 £479,684 108%
West Brent Valley Park East £562,070 Ealing £533,943 £28,127 5%
West Hayes £429,043 Hillingdon £449,725 -£20,682 -5%
West East Twickenham £684,289 Richmond £736,499 -£52,210 -7%
West Monks Park and Oakington £473,981 Brent £521,609 -£47,628 -9%
West London LTN Average £591,398 West London Borough Average £528,095 £63,304 12%
Overall London LTN Average £529,391 Overall London Average house price £502,690 £39,701 5%

However, he added that those within the surrounding area are unlikely to share the same enthusiasm because increased congestion proves problematic when it comes to enticing potential buyers.

Mr von Grundherr said: 'It's clear that the implementation of LTNs has had a positive impact on local property prices, with many of them commanding a very healthy house price premium versus the wider boroughs in which they are found.

'Less traffic congestion, safer roads and cleaner air are all strong selling points for potential buyers, particularly in the capital where they are arguably some of the most pressing issues faced by Londoners.

'However, LTNs aren't without their drawbacks. Not only have they been criticised for hindering access for emergency services, but it's clear that they have a negative impact on the areas surrounding them, bringing an increased level of traffic congestion to the detriment of those residents not lucky enough to live within a nearby LTN.'

A map of the South Chiswick Liveable Neighbourhood including the LTN, which has a typical price within its boundary 108 per cent at higher than the wider borough average of Hounslow

He added that this arguably eradicates the intended benefit, because while it reduces traffic and the chance of accidents while improving air quality in one area, it actually worsens it in another.

Mr von Grundherr continued: 'For those sellers living outside of an LTN boundary, it's simply another obstacle faced when they come to sell, as potential buyers are put off by the far higher weight of traffic.'

While 13 of the 20 areas had house prices within LTNs that were higher than the borough average, there were also six areas where the average within LTNs was lower than the borough average.

The biggest difference was the Thamesmead West LTN within Greenwich which is 30 per cent lower.

This was followed by Monks Park and Oakington LTN within Brent which is 9 per cent lower; and East Twickenham LTN within Richmond which is 7 per cent lower.

The company said its house price data was based on postcodes that fall within 20 London LTNs - five per region of the capital - and sourced from property data.

Heavy traffic in Streatham Wells, South London, in February in an LTN that was later removed

It aimed to choose the LTNs based on a geographical spread using the largest LTNs where possible and also avoiding those found within the same borough.

Wider borough house price data sourced from the Government's UK House Price Index.

In the case of Arsenal and Highbury Fields, which lies within both Haringey and Islington, an average of both wider borough house prices was used.

In March, the Department for Transport (DfT) announced that councils will be obliged to consider whether residents support the implementation of an LTN in their area before schemes can be introduced.

The DfT published draft statutory guidance for councils on LTNs – to come into force this summer – setting out that they must gain buy-in from local residents, businesses and emergency services when considering implementing new schemes.

Sadiq Khan and his wife Saadiya Khan stand on the Millennium Bridge in London yesterday

If councils fail to deliver road schemes that work for local people, they could see future funding withdrawn and the Government could take control of an authority's roads, under powers from the Traffic Management Act, if they are deemed to be 'widely mismanaged', DfT said.

But Labour called the plan a 'a blatant and desperate attempt to distract people from a Government that has run out of road'.

A review showed only 13 per cent of residents responded to councils' planning consultations on LTNs and 18 per cent feel their views have influenced council decisions.

The report also found that local authorities operating LTNs issue an average of 36,459 Penalty Charge Notices per scheme, with the highest number of notices issued for a single LTN scheme exceeding 170,000.

The review further highlighted concerns over the impact on disabled residents and from emergency services that delays to crews caught up in LTNs could 'potentially risk lives'.

Rishi Sunak called LTNs examples of 'hare-brained schemes' in an interview with The Sun in September last year.

A group of local residents blocked cars on a road in Streatham Wells, South London, in November 2023 as part of a protest against the area becoming an LTN.

The scheme was removed, as was an LTN at Jesmond, Newcastle, and the DfT said the new guidance aims to prevent councils having to reverse poorly-implemented or unpopular schemes.

An earlier version of this article contained an erroneous reference to the average house price within LTNs being £614,863 as opposed to 529,391, which has been corrected. 

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