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Trump's Iowa lead grows to largest EVER in Republican primary at 51% - as DeSantis trails 32 points with just five weeks until caucuses

11 months ago 48
  • Trump has the largest lead ever in polling history this close to the Iowa caucuses
  • Ex-president is 32-points ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has 19% 
  • Separate poll has Trump ahead of Biden in swing states Michigan and Georgia 

By Katelyn Caralle, U.S. Political Reporter For Dailymail.com

Published: 14:08 GMT, 11 December 2023 | Updated: 15:53 GMT, 11 December 2023

Donald Trump holds the largest-ever Iowa caucus poll lead – standing at least 32-points ahead of the rest of the Republican primary field with less than 30 days until the caucuses kick off. 

The former president has 51 percent support in the Hawkeye state, according to a Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom poll released on Monday and conducted December 2-7.

Meanwhile, second place finisher Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis only holds 19 percent and former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley is trailing even further with 16 percent in the lead-up to the caucuses.

Iowa is the first state to hold a primary contest with its caucuses on January 15, followed by New Hampshire's primary elections just two weeks later on January 23.

Trump has consistently held the first-place lead in all primary election states, as well as on the national level.

A new Iowa poll shows Donald Trump with the largest lead ever in polling history this close to the caucuses

The 32-point lead in the latest Iowa poll is 'the largest recorded so close to a competitive Republican caucus in this Iowa poll's history,' NBC News notes. 

The next closest lead to Trump's right now in a Des Moines Register Iowa caucus poll was in 2000 when George W. Bush was beating Steve Forbes by 27 points, according to NBC's Steve Kornacki.

Bush went on to win Iowa, the nomination and the presidency.

Outside of the primary, Trump is also leading current President Joe Biden in general election polls in some battleground states taken from late November to early December. The hypothetical 2020 rematch by CNN/SSRS polling shows Trump ahead of Biden in Michigan by 10 percent and Georgia by 5 percent.

Both states flipping blue in 2020 from red in 2016 were key to Biden's Electoral College victory over Trump and are vital for either to win in 2024.

Notably, Trump's lead in Michigan is fueled by many people who say they didn't vote in the 2020 election.

Despite an early polling bump after the first few Republican presidential primary debates, biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy is failing to earn enough momentum in Iowa with just 5 percent support in the latest results from Iowa.

Trump is heading into the caucuses in five weeks with a massive advantage after crushing the still-thinning Republican primary field in every single national and state poll

Ramaswamy, a 38-year-old millionaire and father of two, is set to complete twice over the 'full Grassley' by visiting all 99 Iowa counties two times before the caucasus.

DeSantis completed this feat, named after Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassley, once earlier this month.

In October, DeSantis and Haley were tied at 16 percent, but the Florida governor has gained 3 percentage points to pull away from her in second place with 19%.

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is in fifth pace with 4 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson is in sixth with 1 percent. Both former governors are the most anti-Trump candidates in the race.

Christie has called Trump out at every debate so far, but Hutchinson only qualified for the first debate in Milwaukee over the summer.

While the Republican National Committee (RNC) has decided to stop hosting debates after holding four that Trump did not attend from August through December.

But CNN is stepping up to host a Republican primary debate at Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa just six days before the caucuses. The network will also hold a debate in New Hampshire before the elections there.

It's still unlikely that Trump will attend the debates, claiming that the showdowns are beneath him as he maintains a massive lead over the rest of the still-thinning field.

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