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UK general election latest: Cabinet ministers meet in Downing Street as Rishi Sunak calls for summer vote TONIGHT despite huge Labour lead in polls

5 months ago 20

By Jamie Bullen

Published: 15:46 BST, 22 May 2024 | Updated: 16:56 BST, 22 May 2024

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Rishi Sunak will host a Cabinet meeting this afternoon amid frenzied rumours he could call a general election today.

The Prime Minister stuck to this position the vote would happen in the 'second half of the year' after he was grilled at PMQs this lunchtime, but anticipation is building he could announce a snap election later despite Labour's dominant lead in the polls.

Election rumours have gone into overdrive after Lord Cameron cut short a trip to Albania to be back in time for a Cabinet meeting at 4.15pm, while Jeremy Hunt has cancelled an appearance on ITV tonight.

Follow Mail Online's live coverage below

Watch: Rishi Sunak to make Downing Street statement

We are hoping to bring you Rishi Sunak's Downing Street statement scheduled for 5pm.

Parliament to be dissolved next week

Those in the know say Parliament will be dissolved next week.

The announcement will surely be music to Keir Starmer's ears after repeatedly calling for an election.

Breaking:Rishi Sunak to make statement at 5pm

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will make a statement in Downing Street at 5pm, No 10 said, amid speculation he will call a July 4 general election.

How social media responded to Westminster election rumours

Election memes have started to spring up on social media with multiple references to BBC satirical comedy The Thick of It.

Let's take a look at some now.

General election/announcement memes

General election/announcement memes

General election/announcement memes

Pictures: Cabinet ministers arrive at Downing Street

Cabinet ministers have been pictured arriving in Downing Street amid rumours Rishi Sunak may call a surprise election.

The media presence in Downing Street has built up throughout Wednesday as rumours about an imminent announcement swirled on a rainy day in Westminster.

Asked by the media if an election was about to called, Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride joked: “Too much rain”.

Justice Secretary Alex Chalk, Defence Secretary Grant Shapps, Chief Secretary to the Treasury Laura Trott and foreign minister Andrew Mitchell pictured below.

 Alex Chalk, Lord Chancellor and Secretary of State for Justice arrives for a Government Cabinet Meeting at 10 Downing Street on May 22, 2024 in London, England. At PMQs earlier today Rishi Sunak again said that the general election will take place in the second half of the year amid mounting speculation of a summer polling day announcement. (Photo by Peter Nicholls/Getty Images)

 Photo by James Veysey/Shutterstock (14496729o) Grant Shapps, Secretary of State for Defence arrives at 10 Downing Street for a Cabinet Meeting Politicians in London, UK - 22 May 2024

Britain's Chief Secretary to the Treasury Laura Trott arrives at 10 Downing Street in central London on May 22, 2024 to take part in the weekly Cabinet Meeting. (Photo by HENRY NICHOLLS / AFP) (Photo by HENRY NICHOLLS/AFP via Getty Images)

 Andrew Mitchell, Minister of State (Development and Africa), Deputy Foreign Secretary arrives for a Government Cabinet Meeting at 10 Downing Street on May 22, 2024 in London, England. At PMQs earlier today Rishi Sunak again said that the general election will take place in the second half of the year amid mounting speculation of a summer polling day announcement. (Photo by Peter Nicholls/Getty Images)

Should Rishi Sunak call an election? Here's he arguments for and against

A polling station sign points to where local residents can cast their votes in Westminster, with the Queen Elizabeth Tower's clock face in the background, in London, Friday, May 3, 2024. The tower holds the bell knows as Big Ben. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Our political editor James Tapsfield has laid out the reasons why Rishi Sunak should and shouldn't call an election later tonight as all eyes turn to Westminster ahead of a possible announcement.

Why call an election now?

A ballot has been widely seen as likely to happen towards the end of the year, with the government hoping the economy will turn round.

The rumours gathered pace after Mr Sunak hailed a 'major milestone' with inflation tumbling to the lowest level in nearly three years.

The headline CPI rate slid from 3.2 per cent in March to 2.3 per cent last month - near the Bank of England's 2 per cent target.

The PM said the figures showed that his plan is working and 'brighter days are ahead'.

And why he shouldn't trigger vote?

The strongest argument for going long is because the Tories are a long way behind in the polls.

The latest Savanta poll gave Labour a 17-point lead over the Tories. According to Electoral Calculus, those numbers would produce a 236 majority for Keir Starmer.

And the Savanta poll is not an outlier, other pollsters have the gap even wider.

Then there is the aforementioned small boat issue. If the Rwanda flights do not take off, or they fail to dissuade people from crossing, there is likely to be a backlash from voters in the autumn.

How would a July election work?

 ©House of Commons

Under the current election laws, the prime minister of the day has a lot of power to decide when an election is. He needs to win a simple majority in a vote in the Commons to trigger a process which sets out a 25-day countdown to the vote.

If he tabled a vote today, the theoretical earliest an election could take place is June 27.

However, convention dictates that after an announcement, Parliament be given a few days to finish passing any unfinished business it wants to get done before being dissolved.

The date of July 4 is being floated, as it would allow this period, known in Westminster as 'the wash up', to take place. But a date later in the month is more likely as the remaining business would have to take place tomorrow.

Instead a date later in July is more likely.

Inflation figures and PMQs: How election rumours today went into overdrive

A handout photograph released by the UK Parliament shows Britain's Prime Minister Rishi Sunak speaking during the weekly session of Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs), in the House of Commons in central London, on May 22, 2024. (Photo by UK PARLIAMENT / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - NO USE FOR ENTERTAINMENT, SATIRICAL, ADVERTISING PURPOSES - MANDATORY CREDIT " AFP PHOTO / UK Parliament" (Photo by -/UK PARLIAMENT/AFP via Getty Images)

Rumours of a general election were circulating first thing this morning and gathered pace when Rishi Sunak hailed a 'major milestone' with inflation tumbling to the lowest level in nearly three years.

BBC Political Editor Chris Mason then fuelled speculation by saying the Prime Minister was 'twitchy' about the election timing.

During PMQs this lunchtime, SNP Westminster leader Stephen Flynn said in the Commons: 'Speculation is rife, so I think the public deserve a clear answer to a simple question. Does the Prime Minister intend to call a summer general election or is he feart?'

Mr Sunak replied:

There is, Mr Speaker, spoiler alert, there is going to be a general election in the second half of this year.
At that moment, the British people will in fact see the truth about the honourable gentleman opposite me, because that will be the choice at the next election Mr Speaker, a party that is not able to say to the country what they would do, a party that would put at risk our hard-earned economic stability, or the Conservatives that are delivering a secure future for our United Kingdom.

But anticipation has continued to build with Lord Cameron is cutting short a trip to Albania to be back in time for a Cabinet meeting at 4.15pm, while Jeremy Hunt has cancelled an appearance on ITV tonight.

Polls don't look pretty for Tories ahead of surprise vote rumours

The reason some Conservatives may be scratching their heads at rumours the country may be about to head to the polls may result from Labour's dominant position in the polls.

Labour have consistently led in the opinion surveys for a while now with some giving Keir Starmer's party a near 20 point lead over Mr Sunak.

The latest Savanta poll gave Labour a 17-point lead over the Tories. According to Electoral Calculus, those numbers would produce a 236 majority for Keir Starmer.

He would have 443 MPs, while the Conservatives would have just 124. That is compared to the 376 returned in Boris Johnson's 2019 landslide.

General election rumours: Everything we know so far

 Photo by Thomas Krych/ZUMA Press Wire/Shutterstock (14496932i) UK Prime Minister RISHI SUNAK departs 10 Downing Street ahead of the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) session in the House of Commons. Rishi Sunak Departs Downing Street Ahead of PMQs, London, England, United Kingdom - 22 May 2024

If you're just joining us this afternoon, let's try and get you up to speed with the main points you need to know ahead of a possible announcement later:

  • Speculation Rishi Sunak will pull the trigger on an election contest is fevered as the Prime Minister meets his Cabinet at 4.15pm
  • Mr Sunak insisted earlier today any ballot will happen in the 'second half of the year' as he was grilled at PMQs
  • But rumours have ramped up after Jeremy Hunt cancelled an appearance on ITV tonight while Lord Cameron has cut short a trip to Albania to be back in time for the meeting
  • Senior Conservative sources initially claimed briefing was coming from Labour, but have pointedly refused to rule out the PM making an announcement later
  • The drama is threatening to spark a major row in the Tory party with MPs telling MailOnline Mr Sunak has a death wish while one MP suggested they could attempt a coup to dissolve Parliament

We will bring you the latest on this developing story.

Read: Rishi to call summer election?

Our political editor James Tapsfield reports how election fever has today gripped Westminster amid rumours Rishi Sunak is about to call a snap vote.

He reports the drama threatens to cause a major Tory row, with MPs telling us that Mr Sunak has a 'death wish' and the Parliamentary party will go 'nuts' if he tries to call an election.

Read his report here:

Good afternoon and welcome to our live coverage

MailOnline will be providing live updates this afternoon amid frenzied rumours that a date for the general election could be announced later today.

Rishi Sunak will host a Cabinet meeting at 4.15pm today with anticipation building he could spring the surprise vote afterwards.

Speculation has steadily ramped up throughout the day with the Prime Minister asked about it at PMQs while ministers cut short trips and cancel planned television appearances ahead of the meeting.

Follow our coverage as we bring you the latest news from Westminster plus reaction and analysis to this potentially seismic moment.

Key Updates

  • Watch: Rishi Sunak to make Downing Street statement

  • Rishi Sunak to make statement at 5pm

  • Should Rishi Sunak call an election? Here's he arguments for and against

  • How would a July election work?

  • Inflation figures and PMQs: How election rumours today went into overdrive

  • Polls don't look pretty for Tories ahead of surprise vote rumours

  • General election rumours: Everything we know so far

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